Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 2651.140650 2873.436770 3099.279113 3345.583793 3606.320763 3873.801469 4168.622050
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2252.186345 2577.454174 2921.042368 3309.812561 3736.251737 4188.560555 4703.345174
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2035.386670 2424.907757 2848.251493 3340.045270 3893.093003 4493.296537 5191.352152
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1851.829109 2284.193078 2765.688877 3337.572236 3994.094841 4720.065971 5579.256005
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1739.563515 2211.164390 2747.450461 3396.466337 4154.489614 5005.753932 6027.684806
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1599.639461 2093.725788 2667.058182 3373.446652 4212.012685 5167.423000 6329.603590
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1528.977926 2052.546114 2670.728103 3444.040967 4374.686288 5447.822810 6767.491621
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1441.317180 1984.060685 2635.940223 3463.585236 4472.853900 5650.125504 7112.914610
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1354.975253 1911.482438 2591.077235 3466.278964 4547.031970 5821.459901 7420.407852
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1228.779219 1781.018946 2467.793357 3366.016172 4490.289288 5831.500195 7531.632437
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1207.444803 1784.638349 2511.887577 3473.557095 4688.772366 6150.295187 8016.247156
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1172.808907 1768.300465 2528.607268 3545.161171 4842.018261 6414.359224 8436.045003
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1107.741087 1709.099312 2488.682093 3544.229038 4905.425762 6570.819610 8729.176444
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1032.621996 1632.535091 2422.816619 3507.009921 4920.833172 6666.829045 8948.041154
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 989.722816 1598.207425 2410.954920 3538.585192 5023.053143 6870.787793 9301.395977
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 937.355096 1547.733881 2374.899444 3536.002437 5079.526791 7016.326916 9581.810326
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 911.463298 1533.739258 2387.410145 3597.503997 5219.292216 7267.946800 9997.152834
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 857.928557 1476.762903 2338.180711 3573.466512 5244.911232 7372.850075 10226.598952
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 840.362249 1471.965041 2361.015822 3647.176624 5400.052013 7644.788721 10670.185541
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 806.722608 1441.322869 2345.932193 3667.580659 5483.389128 7823.936268 10995.899337
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 769.640910 1403.616466 2319.169695 3670.392789 5542.116566 7970.731695 11280.401450
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 702.858856 1316.604656 2218.002220 3565.707126 5452.178346 7920.526589 11308.046504
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 702.424395 1334.050778 2269.746711 3677.990715 5659.647215 8263.495014 11849.571147